It’s one thing to buy a young horse by a
Champion Sire because that
significantly increases the opportunity of racetrack success.
However,
genetics must also play its part because no matter how successful any sire becomes, if they are crossed to a daughter of broodmare sire that simply does not work, then you would have a better chance of winning lotto than you would of reversing this genetic trend and getting that young horse to become a winner!
Conversely, if a champion stallion works best with daughters of a specific broodmare sire, then you know that’s a genuine recipe for success because it keeps producing excellent results over and over and over again.
If the resulting young horse is a conformationally correct individual, with athleticism, size and scope, then the opportunities of success are multiplied significantly.
This is the knowledge required by
professional bloodstock consultants that spend
countless hours reviewing results and searching for developing trends or accepting proven trends that offer racetrack advantages to achieve success.
Simply, if a certain sire is mated with a daughter of a certain broodmare sire, and the strike rate on the racetrack is higher than average when compared with that same sire mated to any other broodmare sire, then statistically we can determine if any cross is more successful than all others.
There is a certain cross that highlights this well.
SAVABEEL
It’s the SAVABEEL over daughters of O’REILLY cross.
You don’t need to be Einstein to work this out, just observant.
Noting that
O’REILLY is a son of LAST TYCOON, here are the
Top 10 Broodmare Sires that have statistically worked with
SAVABEEL:
Maternal Grandsire Runners Winners SW SP
O'Reilly (NZ) 1993 125 91 14 13
Pins (AUS) 1996 102 72 13 8
Flying Spur (AUS) 1992 17 17 5 1
Carnegie (IRE) 1991 17 14 4 3
Montjeu (IRE) 1996 22 14 4 1
Danasinga (AUS) 1991 42 28 3 5
Danehill (USA) 1986 31 19 3 1
Volksraad (GB) 1988 27 20 2 1
Last Tycoon (IRE) 1983 13 12 2 2
Prized (USA) 1986 8 5 2 1
What is instantly observed is that there are more runners by O’Reilly than the other sires.
That’s because astute breeders are aware of this statistical advantage for success, so they keep replicating the cross more often.
For example,
if you owned a broodmare by O’Reilly, your research would show that
Savabeel is the most successful sire for O’Reilly mares.
Here is the Top 5 Sires for daughters of O’REILLY:
Sire Wnrs Wins G1 SW SP Earnings
17 Crops: Totals 835 2476 15 80 69 $98,619,562
Savabeel (AUS) 91 255 4 14 13 $11,726,934
Pins (AUS) 83 271 0 10 14 $12,095,855
No Excuse Needed (GB) 53 213 2 5 3 $5,698,548
Ocean Park (NZ) 18 32 0 0 1 $911,189
Per Incanto (USA) 17 65 0 2 3 $2,855,423
Since breeders have
two agenda’s (a) breed for profit and
(b) breed for racetrack success, then its obvious that the most commercial and most successful decision based upon historic data, is to replicate the cross of
SAVABEEL over O’REILLY.
Professional buyers should know these strike rates when they receive the catalogue for every yearling sale. It multiplies the opportunity of success.
Therefore, at the sales if we find a nice horse by champion sire SAVABEEL and its out of an O’REILLY mare, we know that statistically this is the best cross for both sire and broodmare sire.
That the data proves it has produced the most racetrack success.
The odds are stacked in our favour.
So, if it was a choice between two or three horses by the sire but one is from an O’Reilly mare and the others are from daughters by less successful broodmare sires, then you know which one we would choose to purchase?
We can even drill down further and pick out the results with
just FILLIES bred on the cross:
62 Runners : 45 Winners = 73%
17 Stakes Performed FILLIES have been bred on this cross.
17 Stakes Horses : 45 Winners = 38% Stakes Horses to Winners.
37 of these 45 Winning FILLIES (82%) have gone on to be city class performers.
60% of Savabeel daughters from O’Reilly mares (37 of 62 runners) are City Winners or Placed
SUMMARY:
Whilst there
can never be any guarantees of success in thoroughbred racing, what the above statistics highlight are that if you wanted to purchase a share in a racehorse, then buying into a filly who has wonderful conformation, athleticism, size and scope is the first building block.
Our Filly at Bimbadeen Park
Then add-in she is by a sire who has been the champion sire for the past 6 years is a significant advantage.
Next add-in the important ingredient that the filly is from a broodmare sire that works best with the champion sire, then odds are heavily in your favour.
Then add into the equation that any filly bred this way with excellent conformation has a
3 out of 4 chance of winning and of those that do win
82% are city class horses where the big prizemoney is on offer whilst
38% go onto claim black-type for their pedigree page.
That’s when you have as much as possible going your way to achieve racetrack success.
The crowning moment is that with such a high strike rate of black-type success, and being from a well bred female family, the chances are high that such a filly will achieve excellent residual value when her racing days conclude to become a broodmare in her own right.
This data above is exactly
the situation available to loyal owners at Dynamic Syndications.
We have a handful of shares remaining in a super SAVABEEL Filly from a metropolitan grade twice winning O’REILLY Mare named BINGO.
A terrific type bred on this magical cross, all the boxes have been ticked to give our owners the highest opportunity of racetrack success.
In the care of one of Sydney’s best performing stables, that of
RICHARD FREEDMAN at Rosehill, we simply can’t put forward a better racing opportunity.
Our Filly under saddle
She has broken-in superbly and gives us every indication that she is well above average and should be an ideal representative of this highly successful cross.
Our Filly
We encourage you to be involved in this wonderful young filly with such enormous potential.
She was bred and raised at
Waikato Stud who last week were crowned Champion Breeders in NZ for the 2019-20 Racing Season. She is by the 6 times Champion Sire who stood at
$125,000 service fee when our filly was conceived.
Our filly was given time to continue growing out on the lush NZ limestone-based pastures of Waikato Stud after we purchased her for another 3 months before sending her to be broken-in over in NZ and then our filly arrived in Sydney at the end of July.
Our Filly
We are truly excited about what we have seen in this filly to date and would greatly prefer that our existing loyal Dynamic Syndications Owners took up the balance of this filly.
5% Shares are $10,450 and include GST and All Costs to date of registration.
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Adam Watt
We invite you to contact Adam Watt at Dynamic on 02 9540 1511 or 0409 464 378 and have a chat.
We would love to have you standing beside us in the winner’s circle.